Home Validator

Captain Pick Analyzer

Gameweek 9

How the Captain Score is calculated (click to expand)
Stage 1 - Baseline (48%)
Form (32%) + Fixture (27%) + PPG (16%) + Home (9%) + Availability (4%) + Minutes Reliability (12%)
Stage 2 - Explosiveness (30%)
xGI per 90 (40%) + Role ICT Score (30%) + xGI Ceiling Blend (30%: 60% recent level + 40% trend delta), multiplied by Set Piece boost (up to 1.25x)
Stage 3 - Control & Bonus (12%)
Clean Sheet prediction (xGC), Bonus/BPS history, DreamTeam, DEFCON - position-tiered weights
Volatility Penalty (max -5pts)
Cards per 90 over last 5 GWs - penalizes booking-prone players
Value Regression (±5pts)
value_form / value_season ratio detects overperformance (mild penalty) or underperformance (mild boost)
Full Rankings (3 viable captain picks)
#1 Haaland PEN SP+15%
FWD | MCI | £15.7m | 77.3% owned
88.9
Captain Score
GW9 Fixture: BHA(H) HOME
Last 5: 42pts (6G 0A) xGI/90: 0.94 xGC/90: 1.45 Mins: 439/450 (97.6%) Bonus: 12 BPS: 268 DreamTeam: 3 DEFCON/90: 3.93 Reg +5
Minutes (Last 5 GW)
Form (Last 5 GW)
GW49 GW56 GW66 GW713 GW88
Base 76.6 Expl 120.5 Ctrl 91 Vol -0 Reg +5
#2 Manzambi Doubtful (75%)
MID | AVL | £6.0m | 2.9% owned
73.4
Captain Score
GW9 Fixture: FUL(H) HOME
Last 5: 30pts (2G 2A) xGI/90: 0.71 xGC/90: 1.06 Mins: 254/450 (56.4%) Bonus: 5 BPS: 106 DreamTeam: 2 DEFCON/90: 5.67 Reg +5
Minutes (Last 5 GW)
Form (Last 5 GW)
GW41 GW513 GW65 GW711 GW80
Base 70 Expl 84.5 Ctrl 78.6 Vol -0 Reg +5
#3 Cherki SP+10%
MID | MCI | £8.0m | 39% owned
71
Captain Score
GW9 Fixture: BHA(H) HOME
Last 5: 19pts (2G 0A) xGI/90: 0.69 xGC/90: 1.36 Mins: 219/450 (48.7%) Bonus: 7 BPS: 189 DreamTeam: 2 DEFCON/90: 4.13 Reg +5
Minutes (Last 5 GW)
Form (Last 5 GW)
GW41 GW58 GW610 GW70 GW80
Base 57.1 Expl 96.4 Ctrl 80.6 Vol -0 Reg +5